Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?

Market brief

• Up 13.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 36% on Oct 31, 2026.
• Historically, 68% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (2,145 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 4 wk. (Dec 1, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,145 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.3% resolved YES. That is 4.8 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House6 %▲ +0.0%
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?95 %▲ +0.0%
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?37 %▲ +5.0%
• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0 %▲ +0.1%
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?26 %▼ −1.0%
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?23 %▼ −6.0%

Keep exploring