← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 38 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
3 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 2.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 16% on Nov 3, 2026.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (704 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 4, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$23.9K
24h vol.
$20.2K
1w vol.
$23.9K
1m vol.
$23.9K
Liquidity
$6.1K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Oct 31, 2026
End date
Nov 4, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 704 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades
Failed to load trades: Upstream request failed (410) for https://data-api.polymarket.com/trades?market=0x760b6791d7302728b96c81e88c95e8c5ea02ab8392bc7c0a50a5c18150230924&limit=50&takerOnly=true
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