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Updated 27 min. ago

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

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Watch this market

67 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +0.8%1W
Yes 67¢No 33¢

Market brief

  • Large trades ($5K+) were 60% buys, smaller ones 58% — no split between large and small money.
  • Historically, 68% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (1,980 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

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How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

12 outcomes
See all 12 outcomes

Total volume

$1.5M

24h vol.

$82K

1w vol.

$110.7K

1m vol.

$112.5K

Liquidity

$31.7K

Bid / Ask

66¢ / 68¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

67¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,980 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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  • Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
66¢$11
66¢$8
65¢$21
64¢$100
51¢$5
50¢$17
50¢$54
50¢$10
47¢$9
44¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
68¢$22
68¢$5
68¢$7
69¢$11
69¢$100
77¢$10
77¢$10
77¢$48
78¢$3
80¢$30

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell68¢7
3 hr. agoBuy67¢8
3 hr. agoBuy66¢15
3 hr. agoBuy66¢8
3 hr. agoBuy66¢12,374
3 hr. agoSell66¢8
3 hr. agoSell66¢8,102
3 hr. agoSell66¢12,401
3 hr. agoBuy66¢87
7 hr. agoBuy66¢87
7 hr. agoBuy66¢8,102
7 hr. agoBuy66¢12,401
8 hr. agoBuy66¢4,700
8 hr. agoBuy66¢4,650
8 hr. agoBuy66¢9,400
8 hr. agoBuy66¢9,450
8 hr. agoBuy67¢10
16 hr. agoBuy68¢10
17 hr. agoSell65¢5
17 hr. agoSell65¢5
17 hr. agoSell66¢45
19 hr. agoBuy69¢5
19 hr. agoBuy68¢21
19 hr. agoBuy68¢5
19 hr. agoBuy68¢0
19 hr. agoBuy68¢30
21 hr. agoSell65¢8
22 hr. agoSell66¢15
1 day agoSell67¢4,700
1 day agoSell67¢4,750
1 day agoSell67¢9,350
1 day agoSell67¢9,400
2 days agoSell69¢7
3 days agoSell66¢51
3 days agoSell67¢51
3 days agoSell71¢174
4 days agoBuy69¢172
4 days agoSell69¢28
6 days agoBuy69¢10
1 wk. agoBuy69¢80
1 wk. agoBuy68¢20
1 wk. agoBuy67¢5
1 wk. agoSell59¢1
2 wk. agoBuy65¢18
2 wk. agoBuy61¢14
2 wk. agoBuy67¢69
2 wk. agoSell57¢158
2 wk. agoSell56¢1
2 wk. agoBuy77¢1
2 wk. agoBuy74¢10

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