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Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
3 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 30 buys, 20 sells; the largest was $250 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (480 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
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How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$653.5K
24h vol.
$13.46
1w vol.
$106.92
1m vol.
$803.534
Liquidity
$32.3K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 4¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Nov 13, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 480 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 93 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 34 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 93 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 392 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 142 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 57 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 267 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 57 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 210 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 184 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 31 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 3 |
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