Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 10 outcomes · $315.6K traded · updated 36 min. ago
Resolves Oct 24, 2026
65-89 leads at 60 % · biggest 24h move: 40-64 −27.6 pp
Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026??
- 65-89 is the current favourite at 60 %, ahead of 9 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Related events
MLB: 2026 NL MVPPete Crow-Armstrong99 %8 outcomes$1.1MNext James Bond actor?Jack Lowden38 %24 outcomes$1.6MBallon d'Or 2026: 2nd PlaceKylian Mbappé71 %30 outcomes$232KOscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerThe Odyssey44 %27 outcomes$499.9KBallon d'Or 2026: 3rd PlaceLamine Yamal73 %30 outcomes$185.5KWhich movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?Avengers: Doomsday53 %4 outcomes$1.1M
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.