← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 16 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
2 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 3.1 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 11% on Oct 19, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 18 buys, 32 sells; the largest was $4.13K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (584 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 17 hr. (Oct 24, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$30.5K
24h vol.
$26.7K
1w vol.
$30.5K
1m vol.
$30.5K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Oct 24, 2026
ends in 17 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 584 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 13 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 89 |
| 35 min. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 43 |
| 35 min. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 23 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 79 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 49 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 14 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 42 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 130 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 3 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 6 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 51 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 8 |
| 43 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 43 min. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 34 |
| 46 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 143 |
| 56 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 42 |
| 57 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 58 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 59 min. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 77 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 8 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 55 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 125 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 9 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 60 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 4,247 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 4 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 22 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 228 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 256 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 44 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 186 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 67 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 260 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 3 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 1 |
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