← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 32 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
26 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 6.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 12% on Oct 23, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 18 buys, 32 sells; the largest was $185 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 27% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (112 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 17 hr. (Oct 24, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$28.7K
24h vol.
$17.9K
1w vol.
$28.7K
1m vol.
$28.7K
Liquidity
$6.5K
Bid / Ask
25¢ / 26¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
26¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Oct 24, 2026
ends in 17 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 112 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before resolution, 26.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 15 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 12 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 36 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 75 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 39 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 71 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 8 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 39 |
| 37 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 28 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 3 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 129 |
| 38 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 51 |
| 38 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 10 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 29 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 31 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 51 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 15 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 252 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 18 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 19 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 36 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 225 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 21 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 77 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 4 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 16 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 9 |
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