Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?

Market brief

• Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $373 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (584 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 17 hr. (Oct 24, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 584 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?3 %▼ −14.8%
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?7 %▲ +1.0%
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House8 %▲ +0.0%
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?100 %▲ +40.4%
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?68 %▼ −0.5%
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92 %▼ −1.0%

Keep exploring