← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 4 hr. ago
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 2.3 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 11% on Oct 19, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 17 buys, 33 sells; the largest was $1.34K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (584 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 18 hr. (Oct 24, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$64.1K
24h vol.
$57.4K
1w vol.
$64.1K
1m vol.
$64.1K
Liquidity
$51.7K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Oct 24, 2026
ends in 18 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 584 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 226 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 600 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,900 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,348 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 59 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 237 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 171 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 689 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 125 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 32 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 313 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 29 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 499 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 215 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 6 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 72 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 72 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 156 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 200 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 121 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 40 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 159 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 3 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 7 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 27 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 310 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 135 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 15 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 47 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 189 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 154 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 180 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 98 |
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