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Updated 2 wk. ago

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

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88 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +1.0%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 88¢No 13¢

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$1M

24h vol.

$845.191

1w vol.

$8.9K

1m vol.

$123.1K

Liquidity

$46.8K

Bid / Ask

87¢ / 88¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

88¢

Start date

Dec 26, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
88¢$1,462
87¢$2,835
86¢$1,644
85¢$10,118
84¢$252
83¢$4,360
82¢$8,812
81¢$1,600
80¢$1,568
79¢$1,800
Asks (sell)Size
89¢$2,273
90¢$3,966
91¢$9,849
92¢$12,362
93¢$465
94¢$1,888
95¢$6,707
96¢$50,520
97¢$292
98¢$316

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✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell88¢10
2 wk. agoSell12¢10
2 wk. agoBuy12¢9
2 wk. agoSell12¢9
2 wk. agoSell12¢9,980
2 wk. agoBuy11¢1,077
2 wk. agoSell89¢208
2 wk. agoSell89¢85
2 wk. agoSell89¢85
2 wk. agoSell89¢208
2 wk. agoBuy12¢200
2 wk. agoBuy12¢1,663
2 wk. agoBuy12¢100
2 wk. agoBuy12¢500
2 wk. agoBuy12¢5,854
2 wk. agoBuy89¢100
2 wk. agoBuy11¢100
2 wk. agoBuy89¢1,663
2 wk. agoBuy11¢1,240
2 wk. agoBuy11¢423
2 wk. agoSell87¢12
2 wk. agoSell13¢12
2 wk. agoBuy13¢10
2 wk. agoSell13¢10
2 wk. agoBuy13¢80
2 wk. agoBuy87¢80
2 wk. agoBuy88¢2,132
2 wk. agoBuy12¢2,132
2 wk. agoBuy87¢10
2 wk. agoBuy13¢10
2 wk. agoBuy88¢54
2 wk. agoBuy12¢14
2 wk. agoBuy12¢10
2 wk. agoBuy12¢25
2 wk. agoBuy13¢5
2 wk. agoSell85¢100
2 wk. agoBuy85¢100
2 wk. agoBuy15¢102
2 wk. agoBuy85¢102
2 wk. agoBuy14¢512
2 wk. agoBuy86¢102
2 wk. agoBuy86¢100
2 wk. agoSell14¢100
2 wk. agoSell14¢210
2 wk. agoSell14¢611
2 wk. agoBuy13¢152
2 wk. agoSell87¢4
2 wk. agoBuy14¢100
2 wk. agoBuy14¢355
2 wk. agoBuy14¢145

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