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Updated 1 mo. ago

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

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98 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▲ +0.4%1W
Yes 98¢No 2¢

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$79.1K

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$74

1m vol.

$20.2K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

98¢ / 99¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

98¢

Start date

Apr 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
98¢$2,810
98¢$2,000
98¢$2,214
97¢$100
97¢$50
97¢$50
90¢$4
62¢$13
60¢$80
60¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
98¢$500
99¢$45
99¢$279
99¢$3,000
100¢$500
100¢$128
100¢$3,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy2¢6
1 mo. agoSell2¢6
1 mo. agoBuy2¢244
1 mo. agoSell2¢18
1 mo. agoBuy98¢226
1 mo. agoBuy2¢255
1 mo. agoBuy98¢255
1 mo. agoBuy2¢40
1 mo. agoBuy98¢18
1 mo. agoSell2¢23
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell2¢5
1 mo. agoSell2¢129
1 mo. agoSell99¢18
1 mo. agoBuy2¢111
1 mo. agoBuy2¢4,889
1 mo. agoSell2¢4,889
1 mo. agoSell98¢16
1 mo. agoSell2¢16
1 mo. agoBuy2¢50
1 mo. agoSell2¢50
1 mo. agoSell98¢21
1 mo. agoSell2¢21
1 mo. agoSell2¢55
1 mo. agoSell98¢55
1 mo. agoBuy98¢10
1 mo. agoSell98¢5
1 mo. agoSell98¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢45
1 mo. agoSell2¢45
1 mo. agoSell2¢45
1 mo. agoSell98¢45
1 mo. agoBuy2¢45
1 mo. agoSell2¢15
1 mo. agoBuy98¢30
1 mo. agoBuy98¢51
1 mo. agoBuy2¢51
1 mo. agoSell98¢6
1 mo. agoBuy98¢6
1 mo. agoSell2¢69
1 mo. agoSell98¢69
1 mo. agoSell2¢30
1 mo. agoSell98¢30
1 mo. agoBuy97¢30
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy97¢30

◆ Smart money

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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