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Updated 1 mo. ago

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

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12 %

chance

▼ −1.6%24h▲ +1.1%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$141K

24h vol.

$59

1w vol.

$4.2K

1m vol.

$36.6K

Liquidity

$43.4K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 12¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Dec 12, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$30
11¢$60
11¢$300
11¢$1,190
10¢$600
9¢$30
9¢$30,000
8¢$20
7¢$20
6¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$77
14¢$30
14¢$14
15¢$51
16¢$358
16¢$530
16¢$937
26¢$18
26¢$11
27¢$320

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 47%Sells 53%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy89¢11
1 mo. agoBuy11¢2
1 mo. agoSell89¢9
1 mo. agoBuy88¢2
1 mo. agoSell88¢2
1 mo. agoSell86¢11
1 mo. agoBuy86¢11
1 mo. agoSell87¢11
1 mo. agoBuy87¢11
1 mo. agoBuy88¢11
1 mo. agoBuy12¢11
1 mo. agoSell12¢28
1 mo. agoBuy12¢28
1 mo. agoBuy14¢7
1 mo. agoBuy86¢7
1 mo. agoBuy88¢19
1 mo. agoBuy12¢3
1 mo. agoSell88¢14
1 mo. agoSell87¢2
1 mo. agoSell14¢34
1 mo. agoSell87¢1
1 mo. agoSell86¢12
1 mo. agoSell86¢12
1 mo. agoSell86¢10
1 mo. agoBuy86¢150
1 mo. agoBuy14¢34
1 mo. agoSell86¢70
1 mo. agoBuy14¢46
1 mo. agoBuy86¢17
1 mo. agoBuy14¢17
1 mo. agoSell86¢136
1 mo. agoBuy86¢136
1 mo. agoSell84¢460
1 mo. agoBuy83¢153
1 mo. agoBuy83¢164
1 mo. agoBuy85¢50
1 mo. agoBuy85¢69
1 mo. agoSell15¢23
1 mo. agoBuy86¢23
1 mo. agoBuy14¢23
1 mo. agoBuy85¢17
1 mo. agoBuy15¢17
1 mo. agoSell84¢39
1 mo. agoBuy84¢9
1 mo. agoSell16¢30
1 mo. agoSell85¢225
1 mo. agoBuy85¢75
1 mo. agoSell15¢100
1 mo. agoBuy85¢50
1 mo. agoSell14¢100

◆ Smart money

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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