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Updated 1 mo. ago

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

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3 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −1.7%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$99.7K

24h vol.

$162.111

1w vol.

$2.9K

1m vol.

$15.4K

Liquidity

$44.5K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 4¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Dec 12, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 242 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 3.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.9%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$59
4¢$97
4¢$345
4¢$55
3¢$36
3¢$12
3¢$151
3¢$138
3¢$135
3¢$121
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$91
5¢$381
6¢$178
6¢$94
6¢$106
6¢$206
6¢$126
6¢$87
7¢$100
7¢$91

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoSell4¢1
1 mo. agoSell96¢1
1 mo. agoSell95¢30
1 mo. agoBuy95¢30
1 mo. agoBuy4¢150
1 mo. agoSell4¢100
1 mo. agoBuy96¢50
1 mo. agoSell4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy96¢5
1 mo. agoBuy4¢5
1 mo. agoSell3¢26
1 mo. agoBuy3¢26
1 mo. agoSell3¢34
1 mo. agoBuy3¢4
1 mo. agoBuy4¢30
1 mo. agoSell4¢60
1 mo. agoBuy4¢34
1 mo. agoSell96¢16
1 mo. agoSell96¢11
1 mo. agoSell4¢60
1 mo. agoBuy4¢26
1 mo. agoSell96¢12
1 mo. agoSell96¢14
1 mo. agoSell96¢9
1 mo. agoBuy95¢225
1 mo. agoBuy5¢60
1 mo. agoBuy5¢60
1 mo. agoSell95¢74
1 mo. agoBuy5¢31
1 mo. agoBuy96¢14
1 mo. agoSell96¢14
1 mo. agoSell4¢41
1 mo. agoSell96¢41
1 mo. agoSell4¢65
1 mo. agoSell96¢65
1 mo. agoSell4¢30
1 mo. agoSell97¢8
1 mo. agoSell97¢10
1 mo. agoBuy4¢13
1 mo. agoSell4¢55
1 mo. agoBuy4¢16
1 mo. agoBuy4¢30
1 mo. agoSell96¢9
1 mo. agoSell4¢60
1 mo. agoSell96¢14
1 mo. agoSell96¢5
1 mo. agoBuy4¢12

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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