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Updated 1 mo. ago

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

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98 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▼ −0.3%1W
Yes 98¢No 2¢

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$82.5K

24h vol.

$14

1w vol.

$315.036

1m vol.

$15.6K

Liquidity

$23.2K

Bid / Ask

98¢ / 98¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

99¢

Start date

Apr 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
97¢$26
97¢$494
97¢$76
97¢$220
97¢$500
96¢$619
96¢$500
95¢$500
95¢$500
95¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
99¢$34
99¢$61
99¢$60
99¢$254
99¢$1,000
100¢$100
100¢$107
100¢$2,222
100¢$10,011
100¢$3,100

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✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell97¢6
1 mo. agoBuy97¢6
1 mo. agoBuy99¢20
1 mo. agoSell99¢20
1 mo. agoSell99¢5
1 mo. agoBuy99¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢1,000
1 mo. agoBuy97¢413
1 mo. agoBuy97¢500
1 mo. agoBuy97¢27
1 mo. agoBuy97¢8
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢30
1 mo. agoSell3¢6
1 mo. agoBuy98¢20
1 mo. agoSell98¢15
1 mo. agoSell98¢5
1 mo. agoSell97¢10
1 mo. agoBuy97¢10
1 mo. agoSell90¢10
1 mo. agoSell10¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢10
1 mo. agoSell93¢10
1 mo. agoSell7¢10
1 mo. agoSell93¢5
1 mo. agoSell7¢5
1 mo. agoSell93¢10
1 mo. agoSell7¢10
1 mo. agoBuy4¢50
1 mo. agoBuy96¢50
1 mo. agoBuy96¢31
1 mo. agoBuy4¢11
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoBuy96¢31
1 mo. agoBuy4¢11
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoSell95¢8
1 mo. agoBuy95¢8
1 mo. agoSell95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoSell95¢10
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoSell96¢16
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoSell3¢5
1 mo. agoSell97¢31
1 mo. agoSell3¢31
1 mo. agoSell97¢21

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