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Updated 5 days ago

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

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7 %

chance

▲ +2.3%1h▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.8%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$178.8K

24h vol.

$65.01

1w vol.

$11.9K

1m vol.

$31.4K

Liquidity

$45.8K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 7¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Dec 12, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$1,631
7¢$97
6¢$464
6¢$238
5¢$50
5¢$150
4¢$3,000
4¢$509
4¢$70
4¢$8,277
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$85
8¢$80
8¢$50
8¢$5
8¢$1,408
8¢$2,682
9¢$51
9¢$396
9¢$51
9¢$5

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 43%Sells 57%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell93¢391
5 days agoBuy93¢361
5 days agoSell7¢30
5 days agoBuy95¢1
5 days agoBuy5¢1
5 days agoSell94¢1,480
5 days agoBuy93¢639
5 days agoBuy93¢220
5 days agoBuy94¢96
5 days agoBuy94¢137
5 days agoBuy94¢118
5 days agoSell6¢100
5 days agoSell6¢171
5 days agoBuy5¢129
5 days agoSell5¢129
5 days agoBuy6¢526
5 days agoSell6¢526
5 days agoBuy5¢129
5 days agoSell5¢129
5 days agoBuy5¢129
5 days agoSell5¢129
6 days agoBuy5¢54
6 days agoSell5¢54
6 days agoBuy5¢130
6 days agoSell5¢130
6 days agoBuy4¢131
6 days agoSell4¢131
6 days agoBuy5¢77
6 days agoSell5¢77
6 days agoBuy5¢130
6 days agoSell5¢130
6 days agoSell4¢220
6 days agoBuy4¢220
6 days agoSell4¢95
6 days agoBuy4¢95
6 days agoSell4¢220
6 days agoBuy4¢220
6 days agoSell4¢400
6 days agoBuy4¢400
6 days agoSell4¢50
6 days agoBuy4¢50
6 days agoSell4¢220
6 days agoBuy4¢125
6 days agoBuy4¢95
6 days agoSell4¢125
6 days agoSell96¢125
6 days agoSell4¢100
6 days agoSell96¢100
6 days agoSell4¢150
6 days agoSell96¢150

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