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Updated 2 wk. ago

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

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27 %

chance

▼ −0.7%24h▼ −2.4%1W
Yes 27¢No 73¢

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

10 outcomes

Total volume

$407.8K

24h vol.

$4.2K

1w vol.

$31.6K

1m vol.

$219.5K

Liquidity

$54.3K

Bid / Ask

26¢ / 29¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

29¢

Start date

Dec 12, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
28¢$323
28¢$200
28¢$100
28¢$155
28¢$263
27¢$1,365
27¢$700
27¢$100
27¢$1,298
25¢$1,142
Asks (sell)Size
30¢$201
30¢$200
30¢$600
30¢$1,121
30¢$1,284
30¢$947
31¢$100
31¢$1,199
31¢$200
32¢$1,814

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✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 57%Sells 43%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell28¢477
2 wk. agoBuy28¢177
2 wk. agoBuy28¢300
2 wk. agoSell28¢30
2 wk. agoBuy28¢30
2 wk. agoBuy71¢100
2 wk. agoBuy28¢70
2 wk. agoBuy29¢30
2 wk. agoSell29¢392
2 wk. agoBuy29¢100
2 wk. agoBuy29¢193
2 wk. agoBuy29¢99
2 wk. agoSell70¢416
2 wk. agoBuy70¢413
2 wk. agoSell30¢3
2 wk. agoSell70¢10
2 wk. agoSell30¢10
2 wk. agoSell70¢17
2 wk. agoSell30¢17
2 wk. agoSell28¢99
2 wk. agoSell72¢9
2 wk. agoBuy28¢30
2 wk. agoSell72¢60
2 wk. agoSell28¢10
2 wk. agoSell72¢10
2 wk. agoSell28¢194
2 wk. agoBuy28¢194
2 wk. agoBuy30¢35
2 wk. agoSell30¢35
2 wk. agoBuy30¢16
2 wk. agoSell30¢16
2 wk. agoBuy30¢10
2 wk. agoBuy70¢10
2 wk. agoBuy30¢35
2 wk. agoSell30¢35
2 wk. agoSell70¢100
2 wk. agoSell30¢65
2 wk. agoBuy70¢30
2 wk. agoBuy70¢5
2 wk. agoSell70¢220
2 wk. agoSell30¢24
2 wk. agoBuy70¢156
2 wk. agoBuy70¢30
2 wk. agoBuy70¢10
2 wk. agoBuy29¢1,188
2 wk. agoBuy70¢9
2 wk. agoBuy70¢220
2 wk. agoBuy71¢100
2 wk. agoBuy71¢11
2 wk. agoSell30¢518

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