← Dashboard · Crypto
Updated 2 wk. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
97 %
chance
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$726.4K
24h vol.
$2.1K
1w vol.
$9.7K
1m vol.
$90.6K
Liquidity
$24.3K
Bid / Ask
96¢ / 97¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
97¢
Start date
Feb 18, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 161 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 161 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 202 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 202 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 136 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 105 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 31 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 1,265 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1,265 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 21 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 21 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 815 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 815 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 28 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 28 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 570 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 552 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 23 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 150 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 59 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 86 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 160 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 160 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 320 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 199 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 51 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 29 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 13 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.