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Updated 1 mo. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?

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78 %

chance

▲ +5.0%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 78¢No 22¢

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11 outcomes

Total volume

$807.2K

24h vol.

$589.359

1w vol.

$16.9K

1m vol.

$61.2K

Liquidity

$20.7K

Bid / Ask

76¢ / 79¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

79¢

Start date

Feb 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
48¢$1,037
47¢$1,241
46¢$1,697
45¢$158
43¢$735
41¢$120
38¢$21
37¢$600
36¢$500
35¢$874
Asks (sell)Size
49¢$156
50¢$1,501
51¢$1,402
52¢$826
53¢$200
56¢$1,500
57¢$2,060
61¢$21
62¢$3,210
63¢$900

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✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 14%Sells 86%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell51¢11,766
1 mo. agoBuy51¢13
1 mo. agoSell49¢11,688
1 mo. agoSell49¢45
1 mo. agoBuy51¢10
1 mo. agoBuy51¢10
2 mo. agoBuy52¢30
2 mo. agoBuy48¢30
2 mo. agoSell50¢28
2 mo. agoBuy50¢8
2 mo. agoBuy50¢10
2 mo. agoBuy50¢10
2 mo. agoSell50¢30
2 mo. agoSell50¢30
2 mo. agoSell49¢2,808
2 mo. agoBuy49¢2,808
2 mo. agoSell47¢210
2 mo. agoBuy47¢208
2 mo. agoBuy47¢2
2 mo. agoBuy49¢3
2 mo. agoBuy51¢3
2 mo. agoSell49¢1,000
2 mo. agoBuy47¢58
2 mo. agoBuy48¢210
2 mo. agoBuy49¢200
2 mo. agoBuy49¢532
2 mo. agoSell49¢68
2 mo. agoBuy49¢68
2 mo. agoSell50¢80
2 mo. agoBuy50¢75
2 mo. agoBuy50¢5
2 mo. agoSell51¢383
2 mo. agoBuy50¢68
2 mo. agoBuy50¢30
2 mo. agoBuy50¢80
2 mo. agoSell49¢50
2 mo. agoBuy51¢100
2 mo. agoBuy51¢40
2 mo. agoBuy51¢15
2 mo. agoSell47¢39
2 mo. agoBuy47¢37
2 mo. agoBuy47¢2
2 mo. agoSell47¢28
2 mo. agoBuy47¢28
2 mo. agoBuy47¢108
2 mo. agoSell47¢108
2 mo. agoSell53¢20
2 mo. agoSell47¢20
2 mo. agoSell46¢0
2 mo. agoBuy46¢0

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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