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Updated 1 mo. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

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89 %

chance

▲ +1.5%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 89¢No 11¢

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11 outcomes

Total volume

$1.2M

24h vol.

$1.8K

1w vol.

$12.7K

1m vol.

$65.1K

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

88¢ / 90¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

89¢

Start date

Feb 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
60¢$1,575
59¢$1,625
58¢$247
57¢$500
55¢$533
54¢$700
52¢$45
51¢$20
50¢$2,000
44¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
62¢$521
63¢$249
64¢$947
65¢$10
66¢$57
68¢$10
69¢$494
70¢$442
72¢$29
73¢$390

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 24%Sells 76%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell38¢100
1 mo. agoBuy38¢46
1 mo. agoBuy38¢5
1 mo. agoBuy38¢44
1 mo. agoBuy38¢5
1 mo. agoBuy61¢230
1 mo. agoBuy39¢5
1 mo. agoBuy39¢100
1 mo. agoBuy39¢100
1 mo. agoBuy39¢5
1 mo. agoBuy39¢20
1 mo. agoSell60¢10
1 mo. agoBuy60¢10
1 mo. agoSell60¢30
1 mo. agoBuy60¢30
1 mo. agoBuy60¢5
1 mo. agoBuy40¢5
1 mo. agoSell55¢4,762
1 mo. agoSell45¢4,762
1 mo. agoBuy45¢50
1 mo. agoSell45¢50
1 mo. agoSell57¢1,504
1 mo. agoSell45¢301
1 mo. agoBuy56¢5
1 mo. agoBuy56¢605
1 mo. agoBuy57¢180
1 mo. agoBuy57¢200
1 mo. agoBuy58¢63
1 mo. agoBuy59¢50
1 mo. agoBuy60¢100
1 mo. agoSell36¢1
1 mo. agoBuy36¢1
1 mo. agoBuy42¢51
1 mo. agoBuy57¢21
1 mo. agoBuy58¢30
1 mo. agoSell60¢2,686
1 mo. agoBuy57¢495
1 mo. agoBuy58¢300
1 mo. agoSell42¢10
1 mo. agoBuy59¢100
1 mo. agoBuy59¢135
1 mo. agoBuy60¢1,000
1 mo. agoBuy61¢200
1 mo. agoBuy62¢100
1 mo. agoSell38¢100
1 mo. agoBuy63¢50
1 mo. agoBuy63¢50
1 mo. agoSell37¢30
1 mo. agoBuy63¢10
1 mo. agoBuy63¢45

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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