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Updated 1 mo. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?

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53 %

chance

▲ +2.0%1h▲ +0.5%24h▼ −11.0%1W
Yes 53¢No 48¢

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11 outcomes

Total volume

$314.2K

24h vol.

$2.5K

1w vol.

$14.6K

1m vol.

$41.1K

Liquidity

$28.6K

Bid / Ask

52¢ / 53¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

52¢

Start date

Feb 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$560
32¢$121
31¢$200
28¢$220
27¢$9,710
25¢$32
24¢$130
19¢$50
18¢$1,431
16¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
35¢$454
36¢$221
37¢$24
38¢$230
39¢$400
40¢$942
42¢$717
43¢$400
45¢$500
53¢$211

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy34¢400
1 mo. agoBuy66¢200
1 mo. agoBuy66¢100
1 mo. agoBuy66¢100
1 mo. agoBuy33¢155
1 mo. agoSell33¢155
1 mo. agoSell67¢39
1 mo. agoSell33¢39
1 mo. agoSell67¢6
1 mo. agoSell33¢6
1 mo. agoSell33¢449
1 mo. agoBuy33¢200
1 mo. agoSell67¢58
1 mo. agoSell67¢191
1 mo. agoBuy36¢15
1 mo. agoSell36¢15
1 mo. agoSell64¢15
1 mo. agoBuy64¢15
1 mo. agoSell65¢17
1 mo. agoSell35¢17
1 mo. agoSell65¢19
1 mo. agoSell35¢19
1 mo. agoSell65¢19
1 mo. agoSell35¢7
1 mo. agoSell35¢12
1 mo. agoSell65¢19
1 mo. agoSell35¢19
1 mo. agoSell33¢50
1 mo. agoBuy33¢50
1 mo. agoSell34¢30
1 mo. agoBuy34¢30
1 mo. agoSell64¢0
1 mo. agoSell36¢0
1 mo. agoBuy66¢310
1 mo. agoBuy34¢50
1 mo. agoBuy34¢30
1 mo. agoBuy34¢30
1 mo. agoSell66¢200
1 mo. agoBuy66¢30
1 mo. agoBuy34¢30
1 mo. agoSell66¢10
1 mo. agoSell35¢5
1 mo. agoSell34¢5
1 mo. agoBuy34¢45
1 mo. agoSell34¢45
1 mo. agoBuy33¢257
1 mo. agoBuy67¢58
1 mo. agoBuy67¢45
1 mo. agoSell33¢154
1 mo. agoSell67¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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