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Updated 1 mo. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

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93 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 93¢No 7¢

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11 outcomes

Total volume

$1.2M

24h vol.

$114.99

1w vol.

$6.5K

1m vol.

$53.2K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

92¢ / 93¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

93¢

Start date

Feb 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
71¢$40
70¢$210
69¢$1,394
68¢$100
67¢$200
66¢$300
64¢$750
63¢$1,813
62¢$2,593
60¢$2,500
Asks (sell)Size
73¢$9,105
74¢$385
75¢$900
76¢$500
81¢$50
83¢$47
84¢$500
85¢$2,216
86¢$6,860
90¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 12%Sells 88%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy73¢45
1 mo. agoSell73¢45
1 mo. agoBuy73¢100
1 mo. agoSell73¢100
1 mo. agoSell28¢30
1 mo. agoBuy28¢30
1 mo. agoBuy71¢155
1 mo. agoBuy29¢45
1 mo. agoBuy29¢30
1 mo. agoSell71¢50
1 mo. agoBuy30¢30
1 mo. agoSell69¢43
1 mo. agoSell31¢43
1 mo. agoSell70¢340
1 mo. agoBuy70¢43
1 mo. agoBuy70¢10
1 mo. agoSell30¢192
1 mo. agoBuy70¢50
1 mo. agoBuy70¢45
1 mo. agoSell70¢51
1 mo. agoBuy70¢51
1 mo. agoSell70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy29¢11
1 mo. agoSell29¢8
1 mo. agoSell29¢2
1 mo. agoSell71¢3
1 mo. agoSell29¢3
1 mo. agoSell27¢30
1 mo. agoBuy27¢20
1 mo. agoSell73¢5
1 mo. agoBuy28¢5
1 mo. agoSell28¢1,923
1 mo. agoBuy28¢30
1 mo. agoSell72¢1,000
1 mo. agoSell72¢363
1 mo. agoBuy28¢30
1 mo. agoBuy28¢500
1 mo. agoSell29¢3,257
1 mo. agoBuy29¢85
1 mo. agoBuy29¢31
1 mo. agoSell71¢2,438
1 mo. agoSell71¢703
1 mo. agoBuy71¢3
1 mo. agoSell71¢3
1 mo. agoSell70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoSell70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoSell70¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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