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Updated 1 day ago

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
95 %
chance
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$575.1K
24h vol.
$135
1w vol.
$16.6K
1m vol.
$50.4K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
94¢ / 96¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
94¢
Start date
Feb 18, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Sell | 3¢ | 428 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 3¢ | 420 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 96¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 5¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 4¢ | 112 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 4¢ | 112 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 4¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 4¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 4¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 4¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 95¢ | 7,616 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 5¢ | 150 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 5¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 5¢ | 200 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3,966 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 95¢ | 250 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 5¢ | 1,293 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 95¢ | 750 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 5¢ | 220 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 95¢ | 374 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 5¢ | 52 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 95¢ | 262 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 96¢ | 208 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 4¢ | 208 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 51 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 9 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 335 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 324 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 11 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 240 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 53 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 187 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 1,887 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 240 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 647 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 57 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 57 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 31 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 31 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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