← Dashboard · Crypto
Updated 2 days ago

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
84 %
chance
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$893.2K
24h vol.
$6.9K
1w vol.
$32.3K
1m vol.
$68.6K
Liquidity
$26.6K
Bid / Ask
83¢ / 85¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
85¢
Start date
Feb 18, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 18 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 263 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 133 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 26 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 7,086 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 210 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 6,666 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 4,074 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 3,974 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 26 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 26 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1,103 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 150 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 400 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 399 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 158 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 80¢ | 158 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 150 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 25 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 30 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.