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Updated 2 wk. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

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21 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▲ +0.3%24h▲ +1.1%1W
Yes 21¢No 79¢

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11 outcomes

Total volume

$304.8K

24h vol.

$2.8K

1w vol.

$15.3K

1m vol.

$70.4K

Liquidity

$23.7K

Bid / Ask

21¢ / 22¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

21¢

Start date

Feb 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
20¢$4,023
20¢$556
20¢$323
19¢$100
19¢$125
19¢$150
19¢$500
19¢$842
18¢$518
18¢$550
Asks (sell)Size
21¢$407
21¢$420
21¢$597
21¢$323
21¢$450
21¢$50
21¢$535
22¢$125
22¢$627
25¢$500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 86%Sells 14%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy21¢48
2 wk. agoBuy79¢48
2 wk. agoBuy20¢5
2 wk. agoBuy80¢5
2 wk. agoSell20¢2,254
2 wk. agoBuy20¢1,077
2 wk. agoBuy20¢1,177
2 wk. agoBuy20¢5
2 wk. agoBuy80¢5
2 wk. agoBuy80¢400
2 wk. agoBuy20¢400
2 wk. agoBuy80¢500
2 wk. agoBuy20¢423
2 wk. agoBuy20¢77
2 wk. agoBuy80¢486
2 wk. agoBuy20¢486
2 wk. agoBuy80¢31
2 wk. agoBuy20¢31
2 wk. agoBuy80¢10
2 wk. agoBuy20¢10
2 wk. agoBuy80¢13
2 wk. agoBuy20¢13
2 wk. agoBuy80¢8
2 wk. agoBuy20¢8
2 wk. agoBuy80¢10
2 wk. agoBuy20¢10
2 wk. agoBuy80¢8
2 wk. agoBuy20¢8
2 wk. agoBuy80¢9
2 wk. agoBuy20¢9
2 wk. agoBuy80¢10
2 wk. agoBuy20¢10
2 wk. agoBuy80¢6
2 wk. agoBuy20¢6
2 wk. agoBuy80¢10
2 wk. agoBuy20¢10
2 wk. agoBuy80¢63
2 wk. agoBuy20¢1
2 wk. agoBuy20¢62
2 wk. agoSell79¢368
2 wk. agoBuy79¢107
2 wk. agoBuy79¢111
2 wk. agoSell21¢149
2 wk. agoBuy21¢40
2 wk. agoBuy79¢40
2 wk. agoBuy80¢5,347
2 wk. agoBuy20¢4,923
2 wk. agoBuy20¢75
2 wk. agoBuy20¢350
2 wk. agoBuy79¢505

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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