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Updated 1 mo. ago

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

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69 %

chance

▲ +3.0%24h▼ −9.0%1W
Yes 69¢No 31¢

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

11 outcomes

Total volume

$367.1K

24h vol.

$4.9K

1w vol.

$9.1K

1m vol.

$31.2K

Liquidity

$28.9K

Bid / Ask

67¢ / 70¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

67¢

Start date

Feb 18, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
37¢$258
36¢$1,675
35¢$3,459
31¢$500
29¢$28
28¢$600
25¢$6,153
22¢$20
20¢$50
19¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$18
39¢$155
40¢$262
42¢$183
43¢$5
44¢$100
45¢$5
48¢$19
49¢$118
60¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell62¢2
1 mo. agoSell38¢2
1 mo. agoSell60¢20
1 mo. agoSell40¢20
1 mo. agoBuy61¢30
1 mo. agoBuy39¢30
1 mo. agoSell40¢30
1 mo. agoBuy40¢30
1 mo. agoSell39¢10
1 mo. agoBuy39¢10
1 mo. agoSell39¢169
1 mo. agoBuy38¢11
1 mo. agoBuy39¢30
1 mo. agoBuy39¢30
1 mo. agoBuy39¢30
1 mo. agoBuy39¢30
1 mo. agoBuy39¢38
1 mo. agoBuy62¢30
1 mo. agoBuy38¢1
1 mo. agoBuy38¢29
1 mo. agoBuy59¢10
1 mo. agoBuy41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy59¢35
1 mo. agoBuy41¢30
1 mo. agoBuy41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy58¢164
1 mo. agoSell59¢30
1 mo. agoBuy41¢45
1 mo. agoSell58¢53
1 mo. agoSell58¢16
1 mo. agoBuy42¢20
1 mo. agoBuy43¢8
1 mo. agoBuy57¢8
1 mo. agoBuy57¢70
1 mo. agoBuy43¢20
1 mo. agoSell57¢50
1 mo. agoBuy57¢250
1 mo. agoSell57¢250
1 mo. agoBuy43¢67
1 mo. agoSell43¢14
1 mo. agoBuy57¢53
1 mo. agoBuy45¢50
1 mo. agoBuy55¢43
1 mo. agoSell43¢7
1 mo. agoSell58¢600
1 mo. agoSell43¢259
1 mo. agoBuy58¢50
1 mo. agoBuy58¢69
1 mo. agoBuy58¢75

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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