Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 2 days ago

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

11 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −13.0%1W
Yes 11¢No 90¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

10 outcomes
See all 10 outcomes

Total volume

$283.5K

24h vol.

$228.882

1w vol.

$76.2K

1m vol.

$202K

Liquidity

$32.5K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 11¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$60
11¢$1,301
10¢$1,795
8¢$2,000
7¢$407
6¢$529
5¢$4,545
4¢$600
3¢$717
2¢$1,156
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$100
14¢$5,666
15¢$2,365
16¢$367
17¢$649
18¢$499
19¢$991
20¢$448
21¢$770
22¢$385

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy88¢99
2 days agoBuy11¢19
2 days agoSell88¢20
2 days agoSell88¢60
3 days agoBuy88¢100
3 days agoSell88¢100
3 days agoBuy88¢57
3 days agoSell88¢57
3 days agoBuy88¢100
3 days agoSell88¢100
3 days agoBuy88¢134
3 days agoSell88¢134
3 days agoSell12¢190
3 days agoSell88¢190
3 days agoSell12¢50
3 days agoSell88¢50
3 days agoSell12¢14
3 days agoSell88¢14
3 days agoSell12¢20
3 days agoSell88¢20
3 days agoSell13¢78
3 days agoSell88¢8
3 days agoBuy13¢60
3 days agoSell87¢10
3 days agoBuy16¢32
3 days agoSell16¢22
3 days agoBuy85¢10
3 days agoBuy15¢7
3 days agoSell15¢7
3 days agoBuy11¢9,712
3 days agoSell13¢300
3 days agoSell13¢3,000
3 days agoSell12¢255
3 days agoBuy88¢733
3 days agoSell12¢60
3 days agoSell12¢15
3 days agoSell10¢3,000
3 days agoSell10¢60
3 days agoSell10¢300
3 days agoBuy91¢20
3 days agoSell9¢15
3 days agoSell9¢100
3 days agoSell9¢1,854
3 days agoBuy9¢120
3 days agoSell9¢115
3 days agoBuy92¢5
3 days agoSell92¢288
3 days agoSell9¢19
3 days agoBuy92¢149
3 days agoBuy92¢60

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.