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Updated 2 days ago

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Tech
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6 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +2.1%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Total volume

$97.1K

24h vol.

$166.687

1w vol.

$14.7K

1m vol.

$47.5K

Liquidity

$24.7K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 6¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Jun 1, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$26
6¢$39
5¢$55
5¢$8,919
5¢$450
5¢$115
5¢$712
4¢$181
4¢$153
4¢$41
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$1,950
7¢$356
7¢$5
8¢$634
8¢$50
8¢$650
8¢$400
9¢$181
9¢$160
9¢$112

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoBuy7¢26
2 days agoBuy93¢26
2 days agoSell94¢46
2 days agoBuy94¢26
2 days agoSell6¢20
2 days agoSell6¢0
2 days agoBuy6¢0
2 days agoBuy94¢51
2 days agoBuy6¢51
2 days agoBuy94¢30
2 days agoBuy6¢30
2 days agoBuy94¢20
2 days agoBuy6¢20
2 days agoBuy94¢4
2 days agoBuy6¢4
2 days agoBuy94¢10
2 days agoBuy6¢10
2 days agoBuy94¢80
2 days agoBuy6¢80
2 days agoBuy94¢25
2 days agoBuy6¢16
2 days agoBuy6¢9
2 days agoBuy94¢15
2 days agoBuy6¢15
2 days agoSell6¢218
2 days agoBuy6¢156
2 days agoBuy6¢18
2 days agoBuy6¢14
2 days agoSell94¢30
2 days agoSell93¢0
2 days agoSell7¢0
2 days agoSell6¢0
2 days agoSell94¢0
2 days agoBuy7¢30
2 days agoBuy93¢30
2 days agoBuy7¢71
2 days agoSell7¢22
2 days agoSell7¢49
2 days agoSell6¢190
2 days agoBuy6¢190
2 days agoBuy94¢46
2 days agoBuy6¢46
2 days agoBuy6¢70
2 days agoBuy94¢70
2 days agoBuy6¢250
2 days agoBuy94¢102
2 days agoSell6¢99
2 days agoSell6¢49
2 days agoSell5¢300
2 days agoBuy5¢300

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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