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Updated 2 days ago

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
6 %
chance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10 outcomesTotal volume
$97.1K
24h vol.
$166.687
1w vol.
$14.7K
1m vol.
$47.5K
Liquidity
$24.7K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 6¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Jun 1, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 46 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 51 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 51 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 4 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 4 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 80 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 80 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 25 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 16 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 9 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 218 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 156 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 18 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 14 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 71 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 22 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 49 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 190 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 190 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 46 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 46 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 250 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 102 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 99 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 49 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 300 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 300 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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