← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 2 days ago

Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
4 %
chance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10 outcomesTotal volume
$100.5K
24h vol.
$181.31
1w vol.
$6.1K
1m vol.
$23.1K
Liquidity
$23.8K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 4¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Jun 1, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 0 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 57 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 57 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 134 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 134 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 51 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 9 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 21 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 89 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 71 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 27 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 27 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 32 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 32 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 36 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 51 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 51 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 21 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 15 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.