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Updated 3 days ago

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
3 %
chance
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10 outcomesTotal volume
$132.1K
24h vol.
$181.63
1w vol.
$9.5K
1m vol.
$37.3K
Liquidity
$13.9K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 4¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Jun 1, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 92 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 51 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 42 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 9 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 21 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 21 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 48 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 38 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 1,129 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 110 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 626 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 153 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 97¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 1,104 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,054 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 392 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 105 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 98¢ | 87 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 147 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 97¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 22 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 40 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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