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Updated 3 days ago
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?
5 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 9.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 47% on Oct 21, 2026.
- Last 44 trades: 17 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $126 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 0% of Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (153 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 3 days (Oct 27, 2026).
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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
9 outcomesTotal volume
$7.2K
24h vol.
$2.3K
1w vol.
$7.2K
1m vol.
$7.2K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 6¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
Oct 20, 2026
End date
Oct 27, 2026
ends in 3 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 0.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 33¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (44)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Sell | 32¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 32¢ | 9 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 33¢ | 31 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 33¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 33¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 33¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 36¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 34¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 35¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 28¢ | 61 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 31¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 34¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 34¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 35¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 44¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 37¢ | 37 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 45¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 49¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 30¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 7 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 48¢ | 242 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 46¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 61¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 51¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 50¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 62 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 54¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 32 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 45¢ | 32 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 38¢ | 59 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 35¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 35¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 35¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 23¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 20 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
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