← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 20 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 3.4 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 10% on Oct 22, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 20 buys, 30 sells; the largest was $4.22K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (602 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$34.5K
24h vol.
$30.2K
1w vol.
$34.5K
1m vol.
$34.5K
Liquidity
$25.3K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 22, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 602 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
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- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 62 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,699 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 600 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 60 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 148 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 167 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 55 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 34 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,117 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 152 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 88 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 60 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,438 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 180 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 215 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 315 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 400 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 76 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 30 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 359 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 400 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4,233 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 78 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 144 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 500 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 219 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 888 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 457 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 200 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 43 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 167 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 12 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 14 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 56 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1 |
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