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Updated 5 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
6 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 20 buys, 30 sells; the largest was $471 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 16% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (1,369 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$15.8K
24h vol.
$14.9K
1w vol.
$15.8K
1m vol.
$15.8K
Liquidity
$5.4K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 7¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
Oct 22, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,369 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 16.4% resolved YES. That is 6.7 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 126 |
| 15 min. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 500 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 12 |
| 42 min. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 58 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 29 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 29 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 24 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 113 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 76 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 19 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 13 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 21 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 19 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 18 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 9 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 14 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 18 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 199 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 125 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 142 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 125 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 117 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 377 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
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