← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 20 min. ago
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?
26 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 11.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 13% on Oct 23, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 19 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $76 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 27% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (116 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$12.4K
24h vol.
$10.2K
1w vol.
$12.4K
1m vol.
$12.4K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Bid / Ask
25¢ / 26¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
25¢
Start date
Oct 22, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 116 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before resolution, 26.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 13 |
| 49 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 50 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 16 |
| 50 min. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 50 |
| 50 min. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 10 |
| 51 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 5 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 25 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 100 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 26 |
| 52 min. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 100 |
| 59 min. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 14 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 33 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 37 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 34 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 24 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 93 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 128 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 34 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 115 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 19 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 36 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 111 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 38 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 64 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 9 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 9 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 49 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 12 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 271 |
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