Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 14 hr. ago

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

Other
Watch this market

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 11 buys, 39 sells; the largest was $946 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (602 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Total volume

$8.8K

24h vol.

$6.1K

1w vol.

$8.8K

1m vol.

$8.8K

Liquidity

$21.3K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 22, 2026

End date

Oct 26, 2026

ends in 1 day

How reliable is this price range?

Of 602 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$600
0¢$3,000
0¢$5
1¢$5
1¢$5
1¢$441
2¢$3,206
2¢$24
3¢$1,660
4¢$60

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
15 hr. agoSell0¢10
16 hr. agoSell0¢6
16 hr. agoSell0¢30
16 hr. agoSell0¢600
16 hr. agoSell0¢139
17 hr. agoSell0¢12
17 hr. agoSell0¢10
17 hr. agoSell0¢8
17 hr. agoSell0¢20
17 hr. agoBuy0¢500
17 hr. agoSell0¢20
17 hr. agoBuy1¢20
17 hr. agoSell0¢47
17 hr. agoSell0¢30
17 hr. agoSell0¢5
17 hr. agoBuy1¢10
17 hr. agoBuy1¢15
17 hr. agoBuy0¢116
17 hr. agoBuy0¢184
17 hr. agoBuy1¢18
17 hr. agoSell0¢30
17 hr. agoSell1¢24
17 hr. agoSell1¢957
17 hr. agoSell1¢120
17 hr. agoSell1¢74
17 hr. agoSell1¢300
17 hr. agoSell1¢149
18 hr. agoBuy0¢2,000
18 hr. agoBuy0¢84
19 hr. agoBuy0¢8
1 day agoSell0¢574
1 day agoBuy0¢426
1 day agoSell0¢325
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.

Keep exploring