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Updated 5 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?

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56 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +19.5%24h
Yes 56¢No 44¢

Market brief

  • Up 19.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 27% on Oct 22, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 29 buys, 21 sells; the largest was $123 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 50% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before the end resolved YES (117 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).

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Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

10 outcomes
See all 10 outcomes

Total volume

$13.4K

24h vol.

$11.1K

1w vol.

$13.4K

1m vol.

$13.4K

Liquidity

$4.7K

Bid / Ask

55¢ / 58¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

58¢

Start date

Oct 22, 2026

End date

Oct 26, 2026

ends in 1 day

How reliable is this price range?

Of 117 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 50.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 47.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
55¢$200
54¢$100
53¢$369
52¢$30
51¢$57
50¢$260
49¢$82
48¢$40
46¢$92
45¢$290
Asks (sell)Size
58¢$150
59¢$139
60¢$320
61¢$30
62¢$116
63¢$367
64¢$187
65¢$270
66¢$518
67¢$216

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 54%Sells 46%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
17 min. agoSell56¢10
20 min. agoBuy58¢12
22 min. agoBuy58¢12
49 min. agoSell55¢8
50 min. agoSell55¢6
1 hr. agoSell56¢20
1 hr. agoBuy57¢26
1 hr. agoBuy56¢5
1 hr. agoBuy56¢14
1 hr. agoBuy56¢5
1 hr. agoSell55¢5
2 hr. agoSell53¢50
2 hr. agoSell54¢198
2 hr. agoBuy55¢181
2 hr. agoSell54¢39
2 hr. agoSell54¢228
2 hr. agoBuy54¢5
2 hr. agoSell53¢14
2 hr. agoBuy53¢5
2 hr. agoBuy53¢17
2 hr. agoSell52¢132
2 hr. agoBuy51¢92
2 hr. agoBuy51¢8
2 hr. agoBuy51¢136
2 hr. agoSell50¢12
2 hr. agoSell50¢6
2 hr. agoBuy50¢44
2 hr. agoSell49¢38
2 hr. agoSell49¢18
2 hr. agoBuy49¢183
2 hr. agoBuy49¢91
2 hr. agoBuy49¢30
2 hr. agoBuy49¢7
3 hr. agoBuy49¢6
3 hr. agoBuy49¢6
3 hr. agoBuy49¢6
3 hr. agoBuy48¢7
3 hr. agoBuy49¢50
3 hr. agoSell47¢12
3 hr. agoBuy49¢55
3 hr. agoBuy48¢10
3 hr. agoBuy48¢10
3 hr. agoBuy48¢5
3 hr. agoSell47¢14
3 hr. agoSell46¢5
3 hr. agoBuy47¢10
3 hr. agoSell48¢12
3 hr. agoSell49¢40
3 hr. agoSell49¢22
3 hr. agoBuy50¢14

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