Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats? odds
Live implied probabilities across 6 outcomes · $108.5K traded · updated 3 hr. ago
Resolves Nov 30, 2026
7 leads at 55 % · biggest 24h move: 5 −25.3 pp
Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.
See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats??
- 7 is the current favourite at 55 %, ahead of 5 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Related events
Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance18 %54 outcomes$720.7MNext French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen43 %44 outcomes$158.3MRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance39 %43 outcomes$718.3MFed Decision in December?25 bps increase77 %5 outcomes$5.1MTaipei Mayor Election WinnerChiang Wan-an68 %3 outcomes$2.2MDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028Gavin Newsom17 %53 outcomes$1,298.4M
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.