← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
2 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 18.8 pp over the past week (−7.8 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 32% on Sep 12, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $220 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (480 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).
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Total volume
$11K
24h vol.
$6.8K
1w vol.
$8K
1m vol.
$9.2K
Liquidity
$17.4K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 4¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Nov 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 480 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 22 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 22 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 65 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 75¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 85 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 69 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 275 |
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