← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
24 %
chance
Market brief
- Up 6.3 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 51% on Sep 19, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 29 buys, 21 sells; the largest was $52 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 23% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (164 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).
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✦ AI assessment
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Total volume
$10.2K
24h vol.
$6.6K
1w vol.
$7.8K
1m vol.
$8.6K
Liquidity
$1.7K
Bid / Ask
20¢ / 29¢
Spread 10¢
Last trade
29¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Nov 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 164 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 23.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 20¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 74 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 48 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 132 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 28 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 7 |
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