← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
2 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $18 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (480 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).
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Total volume
$11K
24h vol.
$8.7K
1w vol.
$9.5K
1m vol.
$9.9K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Nov 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 480 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 20¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 86 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 86 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 65 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 150 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 120 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
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