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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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97 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▲ +0.4%1W
Yes 97¢No 3¢

Total volume

$139.3K

24h vol.

$3.6K

1w vol.

$21.5K

1m vol.

$116.8K

Liquidity

$32.1K

Bid / Ask

97¢ / 98¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

98¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 178 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
96¢$478
96¢$180
96¢$784
96¢$10,520
96¢$1,720
96¢$20
96¢$20
95¢$2,754
95¢$1,000
95¢$1,000
Asks (sell)Size
97¢$216
98¢$360
98¢$986
98¢$500
98¢$1,784
98¢$2,500
98¢$4,444
98¢$2,000
98¢$2,000
99¢$2,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 96%Sells 4%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy3¢28
1 wk. agoBuy97¢28
1 wk. agoBuy97¢25
1 wk. agoSell97¢25
1 wk. agoBuy96¢20
1 wk. agoBuy4¢20
1 wk. agoBuy96¢446
1 wk. agoBuy4¢115
1 wk. agoBuy4¢117
1 wk. agoBuy4¢114
1 wk. agoBuy4¢100
1 wk. agoBuy4¢60
1 wk. agoBuy96¢60
1 wk. agoBuy96¢402
1 wk. agoBuy4¢136
1 wk. agoBuy4¢112
1 wk. agoBuy4¢133
1 wk. agoBuy4¢21
1 wk. agoBuy4¢40
1 wk. agoBuy96¢26
1 wk. agoSell4¢14
1 wk. agoBuy97¢6
1 wk. agoBuy4¢6
1 wk. agoBuy4¢25
1 wk. agoBuy96¢25
1 wk. agoSell96¢45
1 wk. agoBuy96¢45
2 wk. agoBuy4¢75
2 wk. agoSell5¢14
2 wk. agoSell4¢43
2 wk. agoSell3¢18
2 wk. agoBuy98¢14
2 wk. agoBuy2¢14
2 wk. agoBuy98¢1
2 wk. agoBuy2¢1
2 wk. agoBuy98¢7
2 wk. agoBuy2¢7
2 wk. agoBuy98¢5
2 wk. agoBuy2¢5
2 wk. agoBuy98¢5
2 wk. agoBuy2¢5
2 wk. agoBuy98¢45
2 wk. agoBuy2¢45
2 wk. agoBuy4¢12,499
2 wk. agoBuy96¢9,146
2 wk. agoSell4¢1,000
2 wk. agoSell3¢291
2 wk. agoBuy97¢1,546
2 wk. agoBuy97¢515
2 wk. agoBuy3¢7,519

◆ Smart money

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A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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