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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1 %
chance
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
19 outcomes- Harry Kane97 %
- Lamine Yamal92 %
- Kylian Mbappé79 %
- Lionel Messi21 %
- Rodri11 %
- Ousmane Dembélé5 %
- Michael Olise5 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia5 %
- Fabian Ruiz5 %
- Erling Haaland3 %
- Vitinha3 %
- Achraf Hakimi2 %
- Jude Bellingham2 %
- Lautaro Martinez2 %
- Luis Diaz1 %
- Vinícius Júnior1 %
- Pau Cubarsi1 %
- Declan Rice1 %
- Bruno Fernandes1 %
Total volume
$86.47
24h vol.
$12
1w vol.
$12
1m vol.
$12
Liquidity
$57.778
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 3¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Aug 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (8)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 33 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 21 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 11 |
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