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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.4%1h▲ +1.7%24h▲ +1.8%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$533.412

24h vol.

$23.45

1w vol.

$23.45

1m vol.

$23.45

Liquidity

$9.8K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$138
0¢$92
0¢$411
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$16
2¢$12
2¢$5
4¢$44
4¢$165
99¢$65
99¢$166
99¢$17
100¢$103

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (27)

Buys 95%Sells 5%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢12
1 mo. agoBuy1¢12
1 mo. agoBuy100¢15
1 mo. agoBuy0¢15
1 mo. agoBuy100¢25
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢24
1 mo. agoBuy99¢12
1 mo. agoBuy1¢12
1 mo. agoBuy99¢12
1 mo. agoBuy1¢12
2 mo. agoBuy98¢21
2 mo. agoBuy2¢21
2 mo. agoBuy98¢20
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy96¢35
2 mo. agoBuy4¢20
2 mo. agoBuy4¢15
2 mo. agoSell2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20
2 mo. agoSell2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy98¢307
2 mo. agoBuy2¢167
2 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoBuy3¢100

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.