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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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11 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 11¢No 89¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$19.5K

24h vol.

$1.5K

1w vol.

$4.5K

1m vol.

$15.5K

Liquidity

$8.5K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 12¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

12¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
31¢$130
30¢$159
29¢$443
27¢$100
26¢$100
24¢$100
23¢$100
22¢$100
21¢$100
20¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
37¢$60
38¢$80
43¢$69
44¢$100
45¢$185
46¢$100
48¢$100
49¢$100
50¢$91
52¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 59%Sells 41%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell68¢82
1 mo. agoSell32¢82
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoBuy32¢4
1 mo. agoSell32¢4
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoSell31¢80
1 mo. agoBuy31¢20
1 mo. agoBuy31¢20
1 mo. agoBuy31¢40
1 mo. agoBuy69¢20
1 mo. agoBuy31¢20
1 mo. agoBuy37¢12
1 mo. agoSell37¢12
1 mo. agoBuy37¢12
1 mo. agoSell37¢12
1 mo. agoSell33¢19
1 mo. agoBuy33¢19
1 mo. agoSell63¢2
1 mo. agoSell37¢2
1 mo. agoSell34¢10
1 mo. agoBuy34¢10
1 mo. agoSell34¢20
1 mo. agoBuy34¢20
1 mo. agoSell37¢672
1 mo. agoBuy33¢4
1 mo. agoBuy34¢100
1 mo. agoBuy35¢100
1 mo. agoBuy36¢8
1 mo. agoBuy37¢180
1 mo. agoBuy38¢40
1 mo. agoBuy38¢80
1 mo. agoBuy38¢80
1 mo. agoBuy39¢40
1 mo. agoBuy39¢20
1 mo. agoBuy39¢20
1 mo. agoBuy67¢20
1 mo. agoBuy33¢20
1 mo. agoBuy61¢82
1 mo. agoBuy39¢82
1 mo. agoSell39¢10
1 mo. agoBuy39¢10
1 mo. agoSell40¢10
1 mo. agoBuy40¢10
1 mo. agoBuy57¢125
1 mo. agoBuy43¢125

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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