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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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92 %

chance

▼ −1.3%24h▼ −2.2%1W
Yes 92¢No 8¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$66K

24h vol.

$1.4K

1w vol.

$13.6K

1m vol.

$54.5K

Liquidity

$11.4K

Bid / Ask

91¢ / 92¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

91¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 364 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.4 points less often than their average price of 89.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
97¢$276
97¢$418
97¢$50
97¢$25
97¢$100
97¢$100
96¢$100
96¢$225
96¢$86
96¢$439
Asks (sell)Size
98¢$57
98¢$730
99¢$800
99¢$5
100¢$532
100¢$25
100¢$133
100¢$200
100¢$3,084

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell97¢201
2 wk. agoSell3¢21
2 wk. agoBuy97¢150
2 wk. agoSell3¢30
2 wk. agoBuy98¢5,747
2 wk. agoSell98¢130
2 wk. agoBuy2¢5,000
2 wk. agoSell98¢46
2 wk. agoBuy2¢571
2 wk. agoBuy98¢2,121
2 wk. agoBuy2¢2,000
2 wk. agoBuy2¢121
2 wk. agoBuy98¢270
2 wk. agoBuy2¢270
2 wk. agoBuy98¢30
2 wk. agoBuy2¢30
2 wk. agoBuy98¢40
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢40
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢40
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢40
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢40
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢39
2 wk. agoBuy2¢39
2 wk. agoBuy98¢81
2 wk. agoBuy2¢41
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢120
2 wk. agoBuy2¢80
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢40
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢40
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoBuy98¢104
2 wk. agoBuy2¢34
2 wk. agoBuy2¢40
2 wk. agoSell98¢30
2 wk. agoSell96¢10
2 wk. agoBuy96¢10
2 wk. agoBuy4¢658
2 wk. agoBuy96¢515
2 wk. agoBuy96¢100
2 wk. agoSell4¢42
3 wk. agoSell96¢108
3 wk. agoBuy96¢61

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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