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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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21 %

chance

▼ −2.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 21¢No 80¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$48.5K

24h vol.

$2.4K

1w vol.

$16.8K

1m vol.

$44.3K

Liquidity

$8.5K

Bid / Ask

20¢ / 21¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

21¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
28¢$255
27¢$296
26¢$40
22¢$90
21¢$161
20¢$183
18¢$100
15¢$50
14¢$200
13¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
31¢$20
32¢$240
33¢$20
35¢$100
36¢$100
37¢$100
38¢$100
39¢$83
42¢$100
43¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 86%Sells 14%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell68¢20
1 mo. agoBuy68¢20
1 mo. agoBuy69¢20
1 mo. agoSell69¢20
1 mo. agoBuy69¢20
1 mo. agoBuy31¢20
1 mo. agoBuy69¢29
1 mo. agoSell69¢9
1 mo. agoSell69¢20
1 mo. agoSell77¢59
1 mo. agoBuy77¢59
1 mo. agoBuy23¢30
1 mo. agoBuy77¢30
1 mo. agoBuy22¢10
1 mo. agoSell22¢10
1 mo. agoSell79¢15
1 mo. agoBuy79¢15
1 mo. agoSell80¢47
1 mo. agoBuy80¢17
1 mo. agoBuy80¢30
1 mo. agoBuy21¢1,126
1 mo. agoBuy77¢311
1 mo. agoBuy78¢50
1 mo. agoBuy78¢20
1 mo. agoBuy79¢20
1 mo. agoBuy79¢20
1 mo. agoBuy79¢50
1 mo. agoBuy79¢55
1 mo. agoBuy79¢80
1 mo. agoSell20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy80¢500
1 mo. agoBuy77¢13
1 mo. agoSell77¢13
1 mo. agoSell74¢3
1 mo. agoSell26¢3
1 mo. agoBuy75¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢13
1 mo. agoSell75¢7
1 mo. agoBuy75¢47
1 mo. agoSell75¢7
1 mo. agoSell75¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoSell25¢50
1 mo. agoSell75¢30
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoSell23¢43
1 mo. agoSell77¢3
1 mo. agoSell77¢20
1 mo. agoSell77¢20
1 mo. agoSell72¢1

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