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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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3 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.4%24h▲ +0.4%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$6.9K

24h vol.

$10

1w vol.

$213.126

1m vol.

$810.111

Liquidity

$3.2K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 4¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$20
6¢$20
6¢$21
4¢$40
4¢$337
0¢$164
0¢$274
0¢$500
0¢$4,392
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$120
19¢$200
26¢$37
27¢$100
28¢$100
28¢$100
29¢$100
29¢$200
29¢$100
30¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 21%Sells 79%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell90¢19
1 mo. agoBuy90¢19
1 mo. agoSell98¢21
1 mo. agoSell2¢21
1 mo. agoBuy1¢113
1 mo. agoBuy99¢40
1 mo. agoSell1¢44
1 mo. agoSell1¢29
1 mo. agoSell0¢12
1 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoSell99¢33
2 mo. agoSell1¢33
2 mo. agoSell98¢100
2 mo. agoSell2¢80
2 mo. agoSell2¢20
2 mo. agoSell0¢50
2 mo. agoBuy0¢50
2 mo. agoSell99¢244
2 mo. agoSell1¢77
2 mo. agoSell1¢51
2 mo. agoSell1¢116
2 mo. agoSell0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢18
2 mo. agoBuy1¢2
2 mo. agoSell1¢10
2 mo. agoBuy1¢10
2 mo. agoSell2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20
2 mo. agoSell3¢500
2 mo. agoBuy3¢10
2 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoBuy3¢50
2 mo. agoSell97¢80
2 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoSell97¢305
2 mo. agoBuy3¢15
2 mo. agoSell94¢18
2 mo. agoSell6¢18
2 mo. agoSell5¢3
2 mo. agoBuy5¢3
2 mo. agoSell3¢21
2 mo. agoBuy3¢21
2 mo. agoSell4¢101
2 mo. agoBuy3¢14
2 mo. agoSell97¢16
2 mo. agoBuy4¢50
2 mo. agoBuy4¢21
2 mo. agoSell4¢51
2 mo. agoBuy4¢51
2 mo. agoSell4¢39

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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