Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Other
Log in for watchlist

5 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$17.7K

24h vol.

$520.8

1w vol.

$2.7K

1m vol.

$13.4K

Liquidity

$9.2K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 6¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$137
14¢$470
13¢$170
12¢$150
11¢$200
10¢$200
9¢$300
8¢$300
7¢$306
6¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$110
18¢$20
24¢$80
27¢$60
28¢$150
34¢$500
35¢$203
42¢$100
44¢$100
45¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 91%Sells 9%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy85¢59
1 mo. agoBuy15¢59
1 mo. agoBuy84¢59
1 mo. agoBuy15¢4
1 mo. agoBuy16¢55
1 mo. agoBuy84¢36
1 mo. agoBuy16¢36
1 mo. agoSell16¢11
1 mo. agoBuy16¢11
1 mo. agoBuy17¢39
1 mo. agoSell17¢39
1 mo. agoSell16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy84¢20
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy78¢641
1 mo. agoBuy16¢58
1 mo. agoBuy21¢40
1 mo. agoBuy21¢20
1 mo. agoBuy22¢50
1 mo. agoBuy22¢20
1 mo. agoBuy22¢50
1 mo. agoBuy22¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢40
1 mo. agoBuy23¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢40
1 mo. agoBuy23¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢242
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy77¢52
1 mo. agoBuy23¢52
1 mo. agoSell75¢50
1 mo. agoBuy75¢50
1 mo. agoSell76¢20
1 mo. agoBuy76¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢19
1 mo. agoBuy75¢19
1 mo. agoSell23¢40
1 mo. agoBuy23¢40
1 mo. agoBuy77¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢20
1 mo. agoBuy77¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢20
1 mo. agoBuy76¢195
1 mo. agoBuy23¢16
1 mo. agoBuy24¢40
1 mo. agoSell76¢14
1 mo. agoSell76¢40

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.