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Updated 3 hr. ago

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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79 %

chance

▲ +3.0%24h▲ +4.5%1W
Yes 79¢No 21¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$98.1K

24h vol.

$7.4K

1w vol.

$22.1K

1m vol.

$92.5K

Liquidity

$20.5K

Bid / Ask

78¢ / 79¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

78¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.1% resolved YES. That is 5.6 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
78¢$5,114
77¢$326
76¢$264
75¢$987
74¢$1,000
73¢$200
72¢$1,133
71¢$1,000
70¢$1,467
69¢$1,975
Asks (sell)Size
79¢$1,064
80¢$1,618
81¢$2,123
82¢$52
83¢$550
84¢$1,880
85¢$800
86¢$1,357
89¢$12
90¢$1,885

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 hr. agoBuy22¢13
4 hr. agoSell22¢13
4 hr. agoBuy22¢28
4 hr. agoSell22¢10
4 hr. agoSell22¢18
5 hr. agoBuy22¢5
5 hr. agoSell22¢5
9 hr. agoSell21¢40
9 hr. agoBuy21¢40
15 hr. agoSell78¢0
15 hr. agoSell22¢0
16 hr. agoSell78¢7
16 hr. agoSell22¢7
16 hr. agoSell20¢4
16 hr. agoBuy20¢4
16 hr. agoSell20¢400
16 hr. agoBuy20¢400
16 hr. agoSell21¢139
16 hr. agoBuy20¢38
16 hr. agoBuy21¢101
16 hr. agoSell21¢49
16 hr. agoBuy21¢49
16 hr. agoSell21¢30
16 hr. agoBuy21¢30
16 hr. agoSell20¢80
16 hr. agoBuy20¢80
16 hr. agoBuy79¢5,165
16 hr. agoBuy20¢947
16 hr. agoBuy20¢875
16 hr. agoBuy21¢20
16 hr. agoBuy21¢500
16 hr. agoBuy21¢500
16 hr. agoBuy22¢80
16 hr. agoBuy22¢359
16 hr. agoBuy22¢79
16 hr. agoBuy22¢20
16 hr. agoBuy22¢130
16 hr. agoBuy22¢400
16 hr. agoBuy22¢139
16 hr. agoBuy22¢102
16 hr. agoSell78¢20
16 hr. agoBuy22¢439
16 hr. agoBuy23¢50
16 hr. agoBuy23¢500
16 hr. agoSell77¢5
16 hr. agoBuy80¢137
16 hr. agoBuy20¢88
16 hr. agoBuy21¢50
16 hr. agoBuy79¢50
16 hr. agoBuy21¢50

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