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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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5 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▼ −2.4%24h▼ −2.4%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$23.2K

24h vol.

$1.7K

1w vol.

$8.2K

1m vol.

$22K

Liquidity

$4.7K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 5¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$47
10¢$12
8¢$40
7¢$5
7¢$50
7¢$300
2¢$19
2¢$28
2¢$20
2¢$19
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$19
26¢$100
27¢$100
28¢$100
29¢$100
32¢$100
33¢$100
35¢$100
37¢$100
38¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell86¢1
1 mo. agoBuy86¢1
1 mo. agoBuy88¢19
1 mo. agoSell88¢19
1 mo. agoBuy9¢38
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoSell9¢18
1 mo. agoBuy4¢125
1 mo. agoBuy96¢12
1 mo. agoSell4¢113
1 mo. agoBuy4¢115
1 mo. agoSell4¢115
1 mo. agoSell96¢2
1 mo. agoSell4¢2
1 mo. agoBuy99¢2
1 mo. agoBuy1¢2
2 mo. agoBuy4¢50
2 mo. agoSell4¢38
2 mo. agoSell4¢12
2 mo. agoSell4¢32
2 mo. agoBuy4¢12
2 mo. agoSell96¢20
2 mo. agoSell89¢10
2 mo. agoBuy89¢10
2 mo. agoSell87¢5
2 mo. agoBuy87¢5
2 mo. agoSell87¢5
2 mo. agoBuy87¢5
2 mo. agoBuy14¢20
2 mo. agoBuy86¢10
2 mo. agoBuy86¢5
2 mo. agoBuy86¢5
2 mo. agoBuy12¢50
2 mo. agoBuy88¢50
2 mo. agoBuy10¢200
2 mo. agoBuy90¢200
2 mo. agoBuy9¢30
2 mo. agoBuy91¢20
2 mo. agoSell9¢10
2 mo. agoBuy93¢11
2 mo. agoBuy7¢11
2 mo. agoBuy12¢250
2 mo. agoBuy88¢250
2 mo. agoBuy94¢18
2 mo. agoBuy6¢18
2 mo. agoBuy96¢2
2 mo. agoBuy4¢2
2 mo. agoSell94¢40
2 mo. agoBuy94¢40
2 mo. agoSell4¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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