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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.7%24h▼ −0.8%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$742.465

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$20

1m vol.

$60

Liquidity

$4.7K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$5
2¢$400
1¢$6
1¢$300
1¢$650
1¢$11
1¢$512
1¢$50
0¢$3,010
0¢$4,122
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$80
5¢$39
24¢$100
25¢$100
26¢$100
27¢$100
28¢$100
29¢$100
33¢$100
34¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (30)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell95¢3
1 mo. agoSell5¢3
2 mo. agoSell2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20
2 mo. agoSell2¢20
2 mo. agoBuy2¢20
2 mo. agoSell2¢80
2 mo. agoBuy2¢73
2 mo. agoBuy3¢7
2 mo. agoBuy97¢213
2 mo. agoBuy3¢13
2 mo. agoBuy3¢80
2 mo. agoBuy3¢20
2 mo. agoBuy3¢100
2 mo. agoBuy94¢144
2 mo. agoBuy5¢80
2 mo. agoBuy6¢6
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoSell93¢18
2 mo. agoBuy11¢18
2 mo. agoBuy89¢18
2 mo. agoBuy97¢3
2 mo. agoBuy3¢3
2 mo. agoSell4¢35
2 mo. agoBuy3¢14
2 mo. agoBuy5¢21
2 mo. agoBuy96¢146
2 mo. agoBuy4¢35
2 mo. agoBuy4¢111

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.